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Wall Street Ushers in Q2 with Optimism: Stock Futures Rise Amid Favorable Inflation Data

📝 SUMMARY: As Wall Street transitions into the second quarter, stock futures are signaling a positive outset. Sunday evening saw futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($.DJI) increase by 110 points or 0.3%, while the S&P 500 ($.INX) and Nasdaq-100 ($NDX) futures both experienced gains, moving up 0.3% and 0.5% respectively. This uptick comes on the heels of newly released inflation data from the Commerce Department, which reported a 2.8% rise in the personal consumption expenditures price index for February, a figure that met market expectations. Monthly inflation also saw a 0.3% increase, underscoring a slow yet steady progress in inflation control, pivotal for Federal Reserve's monetary policy considerations.

Highlighting the market's recent trajectory, the first quarter of the year marked substantial gains across major indexes. The S&P 500 soared by 10.2%, marking its best quarter since 2019, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 5.6% and 9.1%, respectively. Such performance is reflective of a broader optimism fueled by ongoing interest in artificial intelligence stocks, notably supported by Nvidia's contributions, alongside anticipations of a Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle commencing later in the year.

Further bolstering this sentiment, historical data from Carson Group suggests a potential continuation of this rally, given the S&P 500's precedent of ending the year on a higher note following a strong first-quarter performance.

The upcoming week promises a flurry of economic data, starting with construction spending for February and ISM manufacturing data for March, followed by a keenly awaited March jobs report. These datasets will offer fresh insights into the economic landscape as Wall Street embarks on the second quarter, amid sustained enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and a prospective shift in Federal Reserve policy.

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